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UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
14.06.2026 13:00 UTC 11 round
Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

Dnepr Mogilev - Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Football
Dnepr Mogilev
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 1
Finished
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dnepr Mogilev - Arsenal Dzerzhinsk June 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dnepr Mogilev.

Line favourite market consensus: Dnepr Mogilev. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.20 / 2 3.22
  • 1X2 market: Dnepr Mogilev 43.1% / X 28.6% / Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 28.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 43.1%
X 28.5%
2 28.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Dnepr Mogilev - Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Dnepr M - Arsenal Dz, 14 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarusi po futbolu 2026, 11 round. Dnepr M - Arsenal Dz, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
X 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO Superbet
2.16 46.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.12 47.2% 2.03 49.3% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.28 30.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.34 29.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.31 30.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.35 74.1%
yes 2.95 33.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 3.25 30.8%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
3.10 32.3%
11.50 8.7%
7.00 14.3%
8.00 12.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.75 57.1%
8.50 11.8%
11.50 8.7%
12.00 8.3%
1.30 76.9%
1.01 99.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.04 96.2%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Dnepr Mogilev
D
31.05 13:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Dnepr Mogilev 1:1 BATEBATE
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Dnepr Mogilev
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Dnepr Mogilev Team comparison Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
10 Games 10
1 Wins 2
5 Draws 5
4 Losses 3
9 Scored 12
16 Conceded 15
8 Points 11
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Dnepr M 26 round Goly Nikolay Sotnikov 0:1 25' Nakazaniya Andrey Potapenko 87' Statistika Dnepr M Arsenal Dz 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0
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Dnepr M Arsenal Dz 10 Games 10 1 Wins 2 5 Draws 5 4 Losses 3 9 Scored 12 16 Conceded 15 8 Points 11 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0.1 Sleduyuschiy match 24.10.2026 Belarus — Premier League Arsenal Dz –:– Dnepr M 26 round Goly Nikolay Sotnikov 0:1 25' Nakazaniya Andrey Potapenko 87' Statistika Dnepr M Arsenal Dz 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 52% 20% 28% Double chance 36% 40% 24% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305720' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');