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UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

11 round 12.06.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

12.06.2026 12:00 UTC 11 round

Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

Isloch Minsk - Naftan-Novopolotsk

Football

Isloch Minsk

3 : 1

Finished

Naftan-Novopolotsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Isloch Minsk - Naftan-Novopolotsk June 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Isloch Minsk.

Line favourite market consensus: Isloch Minsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 4.61 / 2 8.12
1X2 market: Isloch Minsk 68.7% / X 20.0% / Naftan-Novopolotsk 11.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%

1 68.7%

X 20.0%

2 11.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League

League table

Isloch Minsk

#319 ptsGP 115-4-216:10

WDWWL

Naftan-Novopolotsk

#163 ptsGP 110-3-86:25

LLLLD

Best price across 7 books

1 1.33 Pinnacle

X 5.20 Dafabet

2 9.50 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Isloch Minsk

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.16 xGA 1.16

1 -1.27 X +5.15 2 -3.38 1 (DNB) -0.57

Naftan-Novopolotsk

W-D-L 0-3-7 Scored 0.50 Conceded 2.21 xG 0.98 xGA 1.50

1 -9.00 X +0.66 2 +2.90 1 (DNB) -2.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Isloch Minsk

Rating 1619

Naftan-Novopolotsk

Rating 1273

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium FK Minsk

Start 12.06.2026 12:00 UTC

Match center

Isloch Minsk - Naftan-Novopolotsk

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Isloch - Naftan, 12 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarusi po futbolu 2026, 11 round. Isloch - Naftan, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.42 market consensus · line only

X 7.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.70 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only

2 0 7.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Yes 7.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	1xBet	Dafabet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	Superbet
	1.35 74.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%
X	4.65 21.5%	5.00 20.0%	4.65 21.5%	4.69 21.3%	4.47 22.4%	4.60 21.7%
	8.90 11.2%	8.40 11.9%	9.00 11.1%	7.98 12.5%	6.86 14.6%	7.70 13.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.04 96.2%
yes	7.70 13.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.04 96.2%
1x	1.04 96.2%
x2	5.70 17.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.43 69.9%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.13 88.5%
	2.90 34.5%
	6.80 14.7%
	8.00 12.5%
	2.60 38.5%
	7.50 13.3%
	5.90 17.0%
	9.50 10.5%
	4.80 20.8%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.06 94.3%
	1.04 96.2%
	1.03 97.1%
	7.50 13.3%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyIsloch Minsk - Naftan-Novopolotsk

Isloch Minsk

0 matches total

Naftan-Novopolotsk

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Isloch Minsk

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Naftan-Novopolotsk

10 Games 10

4 Wins 0

4 Draws 3

2 Losses 7

13 Scored 5

9 Conceded 22

16 Points 3

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

Isloch 26 round Goly Evgeniy Yudchits 1:0 22' Evgeniy Yudchits 2:0 42' Denis Fedorenko 3:0 54' Ilya Seleznev 3:1 88'

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Isloch Naftan 10 Games 10 4 Wins 0 4 Draws 3 2 Losses 7 13 Scored 5 9 Conceded 22 16 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0.1 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 24.10.2026 Belarus — Premier League Naftan –:– Isloch 26 round Goly Evgeniy Yudchits 1:0 22' Evgeniy Yudchits 2:0 42' Denis Fedorenko 3:0 54' Ilya Seleznev 3:1 88' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 62% 23% 15% Double chance 43% 38% 19% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305712' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');