UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg
01.07.2026 15:30 UTC 14 round
Finished

UEFA Conference League. First qualifying round. Second Leg

Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk

Futbol
Slavia Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
Finished
ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Slavia Mozyr (odds5.98) Score 1:0 (odds6.64) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Slaviya Mozyr: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.47)
  • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0 (odds 6.64).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk July 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like ML Vitebsk.

Line favourite market consensus: ML Vitebsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.36 / X 3.34 / 2 1.77
  • 1X2 market: Slavia Mozyr 21.0% / X 27.4% / ML Vitebsk 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 21.0%
X 27.4%
2 51.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Slavia Mozyr
#1015 ptsGP 143-6-513:18
LDLDW
ML Vitebsk
#131 ptsGP 149-4-130:13
WWDLW
Best price across 6 books
1 5.24 Pinnacle
X 3.71 Pinnacle
2 1.74 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Slavia Mozyr
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.37 xGA 1.02 Corners 6.0
ML Vitebsk
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.00 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.86 xGA 0.76 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Slavia Mozyr
Rating 1499 xG 0.88 Win 20%
ML Vitebsk
Rating 1693 xG 1.66 Win 56%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Stadium Yunost
Start 01.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Slavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Slaviya-Mozyr - ML Vitebsk, 1 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Belarusi po futbolu 2026, 14 round. Slaviya-Mozyr - ML Vitebsk, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 4.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO William Hill
4.52 22.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.55 22.0% 4.43 22.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.20 23.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.15 46.5% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 4.80 20.8%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
3.85 26.0%
10.50 9.5%
4.05 24.7%
1.17 85.5%
9.00 11.1%
9.50 10.5%
3.40 29.4%
1.20 83.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.18 84.8%
4.30 23.3%
10.50 9.5%
11.50 8.7%
7.30 13.7%
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.29 77.5% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Slavia Mozyr
D W
26.06 13:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Slavia Mozyr 1:1 Baranovichi
31.05 11:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Slavia Mozyr 2:1 BelshinaBelshina
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
ML Vitebsk
L
13.06 12:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
ML Vitebsk 1:2 VitebskVitebsk
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySlavia Mozyr - ML Vitebsk

Slavia Mozyr
0 matches total
ML Vitebsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Slavia Mozyr
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr Team comparison ML Vitebsk
13 Games 13
3 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
4 Losses 1
11 Scored 26
14 Conceded 11
15 Points 28
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Slaviya-Mozyr 29 round Goly Artem Kontsevoy 0:1 13' Basseku Diabate 0:2 26' Andrey Solovey 1:2 30' Mark Bulanov 1:3 88' Dmitriy Yashin 2:3 90+3' Shamar Nikolson 2:4 90+5' Nakazaniya Kirill Chernook 76' Statistika Slaviya-Mozyr ML Vitebsk 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0
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Slaviya-Mozyr ML Vitebsk 13 Games 13 3 Wins 8 6 Draws 4 Losses 1 11 Scored 26 14 Conceded 11 15 Points 28 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0.08 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Belarus — Premier League ML Vitebsk –:– Slaviya-Mozyr 29 round Goly Artem Kontsevoy 0:1 13' Basseku Diabate 0:2 26' Andrey Solovey 1:2 30' Mark Bulanov 1:3 88' Dmitriy Yashin 2:3 90+3' Shamar Nikolson 2:4 90+5' Nakazaniya Kirill Chernook 76' Statistika Slaviya-Mozyr ML Vitebsk 0 Warnings 0 1 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 20% 22% 58% Double chance 21% 39% 40% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1305666' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');