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Bulgaria. Division 2
Bulgaria. Division 2
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bulgaria. Division 2

Dobrudzha Dobrich - Pirin

Football
D
Dobrudzha Dobrich
5 : 1
Finished
P
Pirin
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dobrudzha Dobrich — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dobrudzha Dobrich): model 43% · market 78% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dobrudzha Dobrich56.7%
X · draw25.0%
2 · Pirin18.3%

Model estimate: win Dobrudzha Dobrich 56.7%, draw 25.0%, win Pirin 18.3%. Model favourite — Dobrudzha Dobrich.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dobrudzha Dobrich (odds1.62) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Dobrudzha: probability 51% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dobrudzha Dobrich - Pirin July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dobrudzha Dobrich.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dobrudzha Dobrich. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 11.50 / 2 5.30
  • Glicko: Dobrudzha Dobrich 56.7% / X 25.0% / Pirin 18.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 23.7%
1 77.7%
X 7.0%
2 15.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.75 ↓ 1.04
1X2 X 3.55 ↑ 11.50
1X2 2 4.20 ↑ 29.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dobrudzha Dobrich 1 : 1 Pirin
11.64
X3.52
24.89

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 14:50 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-1
Claude updated28.07.2026 15:04 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 23%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X (double chance: Dobrudzha or draw)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 14:59 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 15:20 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 14%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 48% 32% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 48% 29% 23% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X (double chance: Dobrudzha or draw)
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 58% 28% 14% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X

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Participant opinions
25 predictions Choose an outcome
1 33% 2
X 33% 2
2 33% 2
Double chance X2 2.09 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.96 (5) - BTTS no 1.70 (1)
Total TB 2.5 2.02 (2) - TM 0.5 7.90 (1) - TB 1.5 1.31 (1)
total_t2_under total_t2_over:1 2.84 (2) - total_t1_over:2_5 3.60 (2) - total_t2_over:0_5 1.64 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Dobrudzha Dobrich 33%
🤖 7 AI models Dobrudzha Dobrich 58%
📐 Math model Dobrudzha Dobrich 57%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dobrudzha Dobrich - Pirin

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 6 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 56.7% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.283 / LogLoss 0.567
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 56.7% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.283 / LogLoss 0.567
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dobrudzha Dobrich 57.6% 56.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.1% 25.0% draw risk
Pirin 17.2% 18.3%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.7% / 25.0% / 18.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,471 / 1,500 Dobrudzha Dobrich / Pirin
RD 272 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 926-2,016 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.16 market consensus · no value · model 18.3%
X 3.58 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 56.7%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 75.0%
1X 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 81.7%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 43.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 0 7.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.08 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 1.73 57.8%
yes 3.10 32.3% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.04 96.2%
x2 2.05 48.8% 2.23 44.8% 8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.22 45.1%
X 2.08 48.1%
5.60 17.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.99 50.3%
Under 1 1.73 57.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDobrudzha Dobrich - Pirin

Dobrudzha Dobrich
0 matches total
Pirin
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history