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Bulgaria. Division 2
Bulgaria. Division 2
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bulgaria. Division 2

Rilski Sportlist - Ludogorets II

Football
R
Rilski Sportlist
- : -
Finished
L
Ludogorets II
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rilski Sportlist — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rilski Sportlist): model 44% · market 34% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Rilski Sportlist50.1%
X · draw24.4%
2 · Ludogorets II25.6%

Model estimate: win Rilski Sportlist 50.1%, draw 24.4%, win Ludogorets II 25.6%. Model favourite — Rilski Sportlist.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rilski Sportlist (odds1.82) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Rilski Sportlist: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rilski Sportlist - Ludogorets II July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ludogorets II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / X 6.20 / 2 1.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 61.8%
1 34.3%
X 10.0%
2 55.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.87 ↑ 13.00
1X2 X 3.40 ↑ 3.55
1X2 P2 3.80 ↓ 1.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rilski Sportlist 1 : 1 Ludogorets II
11.74
X3.50
24.18

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:1 · 90'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 15:20 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 26%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Obe komandy zabyut — Yes
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 46% 28% 26% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Obe komandy zabyut — Yes

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
22 predictions Choose an outcome
1 33% 1
X 33% 1
2 33% 1
Double chance X2 1.95 (6)
Total TB 2.5 1.90 (2) - TM 1 8.50 (1) - TB 1.5 1.25 (1)
total_t2_under total_t2_over:1 2.27 (4) - total_t2_over:1_5 3.50 (1)
handicap1 handicap2:0 3.04 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Rilski Sportlist 33%
🤖 7 AI models Rilski Sportlist 46%
📐 Math model Rilski Sportlist 50%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Rilski Sportlist - Ludogorets II

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 3 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rilski Sportlist 50.4% 50.1% market and model agree
Draw 24.5% 24.4% draw risk
Ludogorets II 25.1% 25.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.1% / 24.4% / 25.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Rilski Sportlist / Ludogorets II
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 25.6%
X 6.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 50.1%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 75.6%
1X 5.20 Fonbet · weak value +287.1% · model 74.4%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 49.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.45 market consensus · line only
1 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 1.89 52.9%
yes 2.60 38.5% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7% 5.20 19.2%
x2 1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.32 43.1%
X 2.11 47.4%
4.84 20.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.85 54.1%
Under 1 1.85 54.1%