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Bolivia. Primera division
Bolivia. Primera division
04.08.2026 19:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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Bolivia. Primera division

Akademiya del Balompe - Real Oruro

Football
A
Akademiya del Balompe
- : -
Not started
Real Oruro
Real Oruro

Akademiya del Balompe face Real Oruro on August 4, 2026 in the Bolivia. Primera division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Akademiya del Balompe 1-0-3, Real Oruro 1-0-4. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Akademiya del Balompe — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Akademiya del Balompe): model 50% · market 53% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Akademiya del Balompe52.5%
X · draw21.0%
2 · Real Oruro26.6%

Model estimate: win Akademiya del Balompe 52.5%, draw 21.0%, win Real Oruro 26.6%. Model favourite — Akademiya del Balompe.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Akademiya del Balompe (odds2.00) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Akademiya del Balompe: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Akademiya del Balompe - Real Oruro August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Akademiya del Balompe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 4.60 / 2 3.59

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 2 books · best price +1.1%
1 52.6%
X 20.9%
2 26.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Akademiya del Balompe 1 : 1 Real Oruro

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 53.3% @ 1.77 / X 20.5% @ 4.60 / 2 26.3% @ 3.59
Match center

Akademiya del Balompe - Real Oruro

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Akademiya del Balompe 52.6% 52.5% market and model agree
Draw 20.9% 21.0% draw risk
Real Oruro 26.5% 26.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.5% / 21.0% / 26.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,359 / 1,253 Akademiya del Balompe / Real Oruro
RD 197 / 204 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 965-1,754 / 845-1,661 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.48 market consensus · no value · model 26.6%
X 4.41 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 52.5%
Double chance
12 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 79.0%
1X 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 73.4%
X2 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 47.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.95 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.91 34.4%
yes 1.36 73.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.90 52.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.20 45.5%
X 2.61 38.3%
3.81 26.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 1.5 1.79 55.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-2, avg 2.25 gls
2025-10-22 · ABB 1:2 Real Oruro
2025-10-06 · ABB 1:1 Real Oruro
2025-08-08 · ABB 1:2 Real Oruro
2025-04-04 · ABB 1:0 Real Oruro
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.05 (Betcity) · X 4.1 (Liga Stavok) · 2 3.35 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.95 3.95 2.95
Winline 1.96 3.9 3
Fonbet 1.95 3.95 2.95
Betcity 2.05 4 2.9
Liga Stavok 1.8 4.1 3.35
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Akademiya del Balompe
L L W L
24.07 21:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Akademiya del Balompe 2:3 AvroraAvrora
20.07 17:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Akademiya del Balompe 1:2 SA BuloSA Bulo
16.07 17:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Akademiya del Balompe 3:1 IndependenteIndependente
08.07 22:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Akademiya del Balompe 1:3 Real PotosiReal Potosi
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Real Oruro
L L L L W
01.08 19:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 0:1 IndependenteIndependente
25.07 19:15 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 1:4 GuabiraGuabira
20.07 21:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 0:5 Nasonal PotosiNasonal Potosi
14.07 20:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 0:6 Olveyz RediOlveyz Redi
08.07 20:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 4:1 Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.4 Conceded
3 Points