Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bolivia. Primera division
Bolivia. Primera division
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Bolivia. Primera division

Guabirá - Real Tomayapo

Football
Guabirá
Guabirá
- : -
Not started
Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo

Guabirá meet Real Tomayapo on August 5, 2026 in the Bolivia. Primera division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Guabirá 2-1-0, Real Tomayapo 2-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Guabirá68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Guabirá): model 52% · market 69% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Guabirá ✓ Pick68.5%
market69%
X · draw17.4%
market17%
2 · Real Tomayapo14.1%
market13%

Model estimate: win Guabirá 68.5%, draw 17.4%, win Real Tomayapo 14.1%. Model favourite — Guabirá.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Guabirá (odds1.32) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Guabira: probability 50% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • no edge over the line (-26 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Guabirá - Real Tomayapo August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Guabirá. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.40 / 2 7.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books · best price +1.5%
1 ✓ Pick 69.5%
X 17.1%
2 13.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Guabirá
#1015 ptsGP 124-3-519:26
Real Tomayapo
#169 ptsGP 122-3-79:26
Best price across 12 books
1 1.36 Betano
X 5.40 Dafabet
2 7.65 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Guabirá
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.51 xGA 1.96 Corners 4.7
Real Tomayapo
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.81 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.39 xGA 2.05 Corners 3.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Guabirá
Rating 1518 xG 2.13 Win 66%
Real Tomayapo
Rating 1426 xG 0.90 Win 15%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Guabirá 2 : 1 Real Tomayapo
11.31
X5.00
27.36

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.35 / X 17.4% @ 5.40 / 2 13.2% @ 7.10
Match center

Guabirá - Real Tomayapo

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Guabirá 69.5% 68.5% market and model agree
Draw 17.1% 17.4% draw risk
Real Tomayapo 13.4% 14.1%
xG - 2.13 : 0.90

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 68.5% / 17.4% / 14.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,611 / 1,442 Guabira / Real Tomayapo
RD 244 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,123-2,100 / 1,007-1,877 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.93 market consensus · no value · model 14.1%
X 5.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 68.5%
Double chance
12 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 82.6%
1X 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 85.9%
X2 2.95 market consensus · no value · model 31.5%
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.69 59.2%
X 2.92 34.3%
6.00 16.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 1.5 1.73 57.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-1-2, avg 3.17 gls
2025-11-07 · Guabira 2:2 Real Tomayapo
2025-10-17 · Guabira 2:3 Real Tomayapo
2025-09-07 · Guabira 2:1 Real Tomayapo
2025-04-26 · Guabira 1:0 Real Tomayapo
2024-11-26 · Guabira 2:1 Real Tomayapo
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.34 (Betcity) · X 5.2 (Winline) · 2 7 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.3 5 7
Winline 1.32 5.2 6.8
Fonbet 1.3 5 7
Betcity 1.34 5.2 7
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Guabirá
D W W
30.07 17:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Guabirá 0:0 Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
25.07 19:15 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Guabirá 4:1 Real OruroReal Oruro
17.07 22:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Guabirá 2:0 BolivarBolivar
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Real Tomayapo
L L W W
26.07 21:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Tomayapo 1:4 Nasonal PotosiNasonal Potosi
19.07 22:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Tomayapo 0:1 BlumingBluming
12.07 21:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Tomayapo 2:1 IndependenteIndependente
07.07 21:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Tomayapo 1:0 GV San KhoseGV San Khose
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGuabirá - Real Tomayapo

Guabirá
0 matches total
Real Tomayapo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history