Bolivia. Primera division
Guabirá - Real Tomayapo
Guabirá meet Real Tomayapo on August 5, 2026 in the Bolivia. Primera division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Guabirá 2-1-0, Real Tomayapo 2-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Guabirá — 68%
Pure model vs market (1 · Guabirá): model 52% · market 69% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Guabirá 68.5%, draw 17.4%, win Real Tomayapo 14.1%. Model favourite — Guabirá.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Guabira: probability 50% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
- • no edge over the line (-26 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Guabirá - Real Tomayapo August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.40 / 2 7.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera DivisiónHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Guabirá - Real Tomayapo
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| X | 2.92 34.3% |
| 6.00 16.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.3 | 5 | 7 |
| Winline | 1.32 | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| Fonbet | 1.3 | 5 | 7 |
| Betcity | 1.34 | 5.2 | 7 |
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
Bolivar
Real Tomayapo
Nasonal Potosi
Bluming
Independente
GV San Khose
Full head-to-head historyGuabirá - Real Tomayapo
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Guabirá - Real Tomayapo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form