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Bolivia. Primera division
Bolivia. Primera division
02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

Bolivia. Primera division

Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí

Football
Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
- : -
Not started
Nacional Potosí
Nacional Potosí

Oriente Petrolero face Nacional Potosí on August 2, 2026 in the Bolivia. Primera division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Oriente Petrolero 1-1-1, Nacional Potosí 3-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Oriente Petrolero48%

Pure model vs market (1 · Oriente Petrolero): model 30% · market 51% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Oriente Petrolero48.4%
X · draw23.0%
2 · Nacional Potosí28.6%

Model estimate: win Oriente Petrolero 48.4%, draw 23.0%, win Nacional Potosí 28.6%. Model favourite — Oriente Petrolero.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Nacional Potosí (odds2.19) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Nasonal Potosi: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.19)
  • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Oriente Petrolero. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 4.10 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 50.9%
X 22.6%
2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Oriente Petrolero
#1014 ptsGP 114-2-515:16
Nacional Potosí
#715 ptsGP 114-3-417:15
Best price across 10 books
1 2.00 BetVictor
X 4.00 Betfair
2 3.75 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Oriente Petrolero
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.56 xGA 2.00 Corners 2.0
Nacional Potosí
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.41 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.72 xGA 1.72 Corners 2.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Oriente Petrolero
Rating 1509 xG 1.54 Win 44%
Nacional Potosí
Rating 1552 xG 1.26 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Oriente Petrolero 1 : 1 Nacional Potosí
115.00
X6.95
21.17

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 50.9% @ 1.82 / X 22.6% @ 4.10 / 2 26.5% @ 3.50
Match center

Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Oriente Petrolero 49.6% 48.4% market and model agree
Draw 23.1% 23.0% draw risk
Nacional Potosí 27.3% 28.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.4% / 23.0% / 28.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,487 / 1,783 Oriente Petrolero / Nacional Potosi
RD 213 / 222 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,061-1,914 / 1,339-2,226 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.48 market consensus · no value · model 28.6%
X 4.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 48.4%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 77.0%
1X 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 71.4%
X2 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 51.6%
Handicap
2 0 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
x2 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%
3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6%
Match center
Oriente Petrolero
W D L
25.07 21:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Oriente Petrolero 2:1 IndependenteIndependente
18.07 22:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Oriente Petrolero 2:2 AvroraAvrora
15.07 22:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Oriente Petrolero 1:2 StrongestStrongest
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Nacional Potosí
W W D W
26.07 21:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Nacional Potosí 4:1 TomayapoTomayapo
20.07 21:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Nacional Potosí 5:0 Real OruroReal Oruro
12.07 17:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Nacional Potosí 1:1 Real PotosiReal Potosi
09.07 22:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Nacional Potosí 2:0 AvroraAvrora
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points