Bolivia. Primera division
Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro meet Independiente Petrolero on August 1, 2026 in the Bolivia. Primera division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Real Oruro 1-0-3, Independiente Petrolero 1-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Real Oruro — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · Real Oruro): model 42% · market 54% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Real Oruro 56.8%, draw 21.7%, win Independiente Petrolero 21.5%. Model favourite — Real Oruro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Real Oruro: probability 53% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
- • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 4.00 / 2 4.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera DivisiónHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.97 50.8% | 1.98 50.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 58.5% | 1.73 57.8% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
Real Oruro
Guabira
Nasonal Potosi
Olveyz Redi
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
Real Potosi
Tomayapo
Full head-to-head historyReal Oruro - Independiente Petrolero
Match history
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The Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form