Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bolivia. Primera division
Bolivia. Primera division
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Bolivia. Primera division

Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero

Football
Real Oruro
Real Oruro
- : -
Not started
Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero

Real Oruro meet Independiente Petrolero on August 1, 2026 in the Bolivia. Primera division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Real Oruro 1-0-3, Independiente Petrolero 1-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Real Oruro57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Real Oruro): model 42% · market 54% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Real Oruro56.8%
X · draw21.7%
2 · Independiente Petrolero21.5%

Model estimate: win Real Oruro 56.8%, draw 21.7%, win Independiente Petrolero 21.5%. Model favourite — Real Oruro.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Real Oruro (odds1.59) Score 2:1 confidence 53%
  • Model backs Real Oruro: probability 53% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Oruro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 4.00 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 53.6%
X 23.2%
2 23.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Real Oruro
#1014 ptsGP 114-2-522:27
Independiente Petrolero
#1212 ptsGP 113-3-515:19
Best price across 11 books
1 1.70 10Bet
X 4.30 Dafabet
2 4.50 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Real Oruro
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 2.01 Conceded 2.21 xG 1.55 xGA 2.07 Corners 4.8
Independiente Petrolero
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.49 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.39 xGA 2.09 Corners 4.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Real Oruro
Rating 1535 xG 2.09 Win 56%
Independiente Petrolero
Rating 1497 xG 1.30 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 53.6% @ 1.73 / X 23.2% @ 4.00 / 2 23.2% @ 4.00
Match center

Real Oruro - Independiente Petrolero

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Real Oruro 57.8% 56.8% market and model agree
Draw 21.6% 21.7% draw risk
Independiente Petrolero 20.6% 21.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.8% / 21.7% / 21.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,325 / 1,373 Real Oruro / Independiente
RD 236 / 190 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 854-1,796 / 994-1,753 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · no value · model 21.5%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 56.8%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 78.3%
1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 78.5%
X2 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 43.2%
Handicap
2 0 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
x2 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 3.5 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5%
Under 3.5 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
Match center
Real Oruro
L L L W
25.07 19:15 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 1:4 GuabiraGuabira
20.07 21:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 0:5 Nasonal PotosiNasonal Potosi
14.07 20:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 0:6 Olveyz RediOlveyz Redi
08.07 20:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Real Oruro 4:1 Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
4.0 Conceded
3 Points
Independiente Petrolero
L W L L
25.07 21:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Independiente Petrolero 1:2 Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
21.07 21:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Independiente Petrolero 3:0 Real PotosiReal Potosi
16.07 17:00 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Independiente Petrolero 1:3 Akademiya del Balompe
12.07 21:30 UTC Bolivia: Division Profesional Standings
Independiente Petrolero 1:2 TomayapoTomayapo
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points