Match center
Start
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Bolivia. Primera division
Real Potosi - Universidad Panama
1
:
1
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Real Potosi — 62%
Model estimate: win Real Potosi 61.7%, draw 18.2%, win Universidad Panama 20.2%. Model favourite — Real Potosi.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Potosi - Universidad Panama July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / X 1.15 / 2 9.00
- Glicko: Real Potosi 61.7% / X 18.2% / Universidad Panama 20.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 ✓ Pick
10.2%
X
79.6%
2
10.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
4.50
↑ 9.00
1X2 X
1.55
↓ 1.15
1X2 2
4.40
↑ 9.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Real Potosi - Universidad Panama
Form
5/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 61.7% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.090 / LogLoss 1.705
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 61.7% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.090 / LogLoss 1.705
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Real Potosi
10.2%
61.7%
market and model agree
Draw
79.7%
18.2%
draw risk
Universidad Panama
10.2%
20.2%
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
61.7% / 18.2% / 20.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,618 / 1,394
Real Potosi / Universidad Panama
RD
209 / 222
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,201-2,035 / 950-1,837
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.00
Fonbet · no value · model 20.2%
X
1.15
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
9.00
Fonbet · weak value +454.9% · model 61.7%
Double chance
12
4.50
Fonbet · weak value +268.2% · model 81.8%
1X
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
X2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 38.3%
Handicap
2 0
1.80
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
7.30
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 7.30 13.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 11.50 8.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
Match center
Real Potosi
L
L
W
D
W
Real Potosi
1:2
Bolivar
Bolivar
Real Potosi
0:3
Independente
Independente
Real Potosi
5:0
SA Bulo
SA Bulo
Real Potosi
1:1
Nasonal Potosi
Nasonal Potosi
Real Potosi
3:1
Akademiya del Balompe
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Universidad Panama
W
D
D
L
Universidad Panama
5:1
Universitario de Vinto
Universitario de Vinto
Universidad Panama
0:0
Strongest
Strongest
Universidad Panama
1:1
Bluming
Bluming
Universidad Panama
0:1
Tomayapo
Tomayapo
1
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
0.8
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Potosi - Universidad Panama
Real Potosi
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Real Potosi - Universidad Panama breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form