Match center
Start
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Gremio Valparaiso U20 - Santa-Mariya U20
0
:
4
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
2Santa-Mariya U20 — odds 3.65 · edge +11.9% · 2 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gremio Valparaiso U20 - Santa-Mariya U20 July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Gremio Valparaiso U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 6.90 / 2 2.47
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 49.3%
1
63.2%
X
9.7%
2
27.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Estadual Junior U20Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gremio Valparaiso U20
W-D-L 8-2-0
Scored 2.31
Conceded 0.41
xG 1.73
xGA 0.98
Santa-Mariya U20
W-D-L 9-0-1
Scored 2.60
Conceded 0.50
xG 2.06
xGA 0.86
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
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Match center
Gremio Valparaiso U20 - Santa-Mariya U20
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.47
market consensus · line only
X
6.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.06
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.80
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.60
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.95
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.25
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% | 2.63 38.0% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% | 1.43 69.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.06 94.3% |
| 1x | 1.43 69.9% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.53 65.4% | 6.80 14.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.62 38.2% |
| Х | 2.62 38.2% |
| П2 | 2.89 34.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 2.11 47.4% |
| ТМ 1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
Match center
Gremio Valparaiso U20
W
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3:1
Paranoa U20
Paranoa U20
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGremio Valparaiso U20 - Santa-Mariya U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals