Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Paysandu (Zh) - Acao (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Acao (w) — 43%
Pure model vs market (2 · Acao (w)): model 36% · market 44% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Paysandu (Zh) 29.4%, draw 27.5%, win Acao (w) 43.1%. Model favourite — Acao (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.29)
- • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paysandu (Zh) - Acao (w) August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / X 3.30 / 2 2.10
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Paysandu (Zh) - Acao (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.61 62.1% |
| x2 | 1.26 79.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.91 25.6% | |
| X | 2.06 48.5% |
| 2.71 36.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.81 55.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.90 52.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% |
Paysandu (Zh)
Sport Resifi (Zh)
Acao (w)
Alagoana (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyPaysandu (Zh) - Acao (w)
Match history
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The Paysandu (Zh) - Acao (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form