Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Sport Recife (w) - Atletico Rio Negro (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Sport Recife (w) — 70%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sport Recife (w)): model 55% · market 71% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sport Recife (w) 70.1%, draw 18.4%, win Atletico Rio Negro (w) 11.5%. Model favourite — Sport Recife (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Sport Resifi (Zh): probability 50% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.29)
- • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sport Recife (w) - Atletico Rio Negro (w) August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.00 / 2 8.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Sport Recife (w) - Atletico Rio Negro (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 2.39 41.8% |
| 7.80 12.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
Sport Recife (w)
Paysandu (Zh)
Full head-to-head historySport Recife (w) - Atletico Rio Negro (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Sport Recife (w) - Atletico Rio Negro (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form