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Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings

Vasco da Gama (w) - Minas Brasilia (Zh)

Football
V
Vasco da Gama (w)
- : -
Not started
M
Minas Brasilia (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vasco da Gama (w) — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vasco da Gama (w)): model 47% · market 54% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vasco da Gama (w)53.6%
X · draw24.6%
2 · Minas Brasilia (Zh)21.8%

Model estimate: win Vasco da Gama (w) 53.6%, draw 24.6%, win Minas Brasilia (Zh) 21.8%. Model favourite — Vasco da Gama (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vasco da Gama (w) (odds1.69) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Vasko (Zh): probability 50% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vasco da Gama (w) - Minas Brasilia (Zh) August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Vasco da Gama (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.70 / 2 4.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 54.1%
X 24.7%
2 21.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 54.1% @ 1.69 / X 24.7% @ 3.70 / 2 21.2% @ 4.30
Match center

Vasco da Gama (w) - Minas Brasilia (Zh)

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vasco da Gama (w) 54.1% 53.6% market and model agree
Draw 24.7% 24.6% draw risk
Minas Brasilia (Zh) 21.3% 21.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.6% / 24.6% / 21.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,700 / 1,650 Vasco da Gama (w) / Minas Brasilia (Zh)
RD 222 / 251 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,256-2,144 / 1,149-2,152 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.28 market consensus · no value · model 21.8%
X 3.69 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.69 market consensus · no value · model 53.6%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.4%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 78.2%
X2 2.01 market consensus · no value · model 46.4%
Handicap
2 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8%
x2 1.96 51.0% 2.06 48.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.20 45.5%
X 2.29 43.7%
4.60 21.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.15 46.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— — 2.15 46.5%
1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% —
— — 1.60 62.5%
3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% —
Match center
Vasco da Gama (w)
W W
25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Vasco da Gama (w) 3:0 Vila Nova (Zh)
31.05 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Vasco da Gama (w) 2:0 Seara (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Minas Brasilia (Zh)
W D
25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Minas Brasilia (Zh) 4:0 Seara (Zh)
31.05 17:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - A2 Women Standings
Minas Brasilia (Zh) 2:2 Rio Negro (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points