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Brazil. Women. U20. Paulista
Brazil. Women. U20. Paulista
30.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. U20. Paulista

Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20

Football
Vasco da Gama U20
Vasco da Gama U20
2 : 0
Finished
S
Santos U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Santos U2056%

1 · Vasco da Gama U2026.0%
X · draw18.3%
2 · Santos U20 ✓ Pick55.6%

Model estimate: win Vasco da Gama U20 26.0%, draw 18.3%, win Santos U20 55.6%. Model favourite — Santos U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20 July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vasco da Gama U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vasco da Gama U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 4.80 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Vasco da Gama U20 26.0% / X 18.3% / Santos U20 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 31.6%
1 75.2%
X 15.8%
2 ✓ Pick 8.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vasco da Gama U20 1 : 1 Santos U20
11.90
X3.38
23.58

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 75.2% @ 1.01 / X 15.8% @ 4.80 / 2 8.9% @ 8.50
Match center

Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 55.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.891 / LogLoss 1.347
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 55.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.891 / LogLoss 1.347
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vasco da Gama U20 47.7% 26.0% market favourite
Draw 26.7% 18.3% draw risk
Santos U20 25.5% 55.6% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.0% / 18.3% / 55.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,469 / 1,758 Vasco da Gama U20 / Santos U20
RD 177 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,114-1,824 / 1,446-2,070 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 55.6%
X 4.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 26.0%
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.7%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 44.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.23 81.3%
yes 3.60 27.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.06 94.3%
x2 11.50 8.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.05 95.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.12 89.3%
7.00 14.3%
9.00 11.1%
11.50 8.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.77 56.5%
7.30 13.7%
5.00 20.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.5 4.40 22.7% 1.77 56.5%
Over 3.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 4.5 12.00 8.3%
Over 5.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 7.40 13.5%
Under 1.5 4.80 20.8%
Under 2.5 1.15 87.0% 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 4.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 5.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Vasco da Gama U20
L L
22.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 - Playoff
Vasco da Gama U20 0:2 Santos U20
14.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 - Playoff
Vasco da Gama U20 72:75 Kruzeyro U20Kruzeyro U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
36.0 Scored
38.5 Conceded
0 Points
Santos U20
W W
22.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 - Playoff
Santos U20 2:0 Vasko da Gama U20Vasko da Gama U20
15.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 - Playoff
Santos U20 2:1 Botafogo U20Botafogo U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20

Vasco da Gama U20
1 matches total
Santos U20
Vasco da Gama U20: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Santos U20: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Santos U20 0:2 (22.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 22.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 - Playoff
Vasko da Gama U20
0:2
Santos U20