Match center
Start
01.07.2026 16:00 UTC
01.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Botafogo U20 - Fluminense U20
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Botafogo U20 - Fluminense U20 July 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Botafogo U20.
Line favourite market consensus: Botafogo U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.39 / 2 3.98
- 1X2 market: Botafogo U20 51.0% / X 26.5% / Fluminense U20 22.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.8%
1
51.1%
X
26.4%
2
22.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Brasileiro U20 ALeague table
Botafogo U20
WLWWD
Fluminense U20
LDLWL
Best price
across 10 books
1
1.81
Pinnacle
X
3.54
Pinnacle
2
4.20
Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Botafogo U20
W-D-L 7-1-2
Scored 2.10
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.61
xGA 1.22
Fluminense U20
W-D-L 3-1-6
Scored 1.00
Conceded 1.50
xG 1.39
xGA 1.44
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Botafogo U20
Rating 1603
xG 1.57
Win 47%
Fluminense U20
Rating 1452
xG 1.16
Win 28%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Botafogo U20 - Fluminense U20
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.70
Fonbet · line only
X
1.80
Fonbet · line only
1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.87
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.17
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.75
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.95
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.05
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.38 29.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 3.90 25.6% | 4.18 23.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 4.00 25.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.87 53.5% |
| 1x | 1.17 85.5% |
| x2 | 5.50 18.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 2.17 46.1% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 1.64 61.0% | |
| 2.30 43.5% |
Match center
Fluminense U20
W
Fluminense U20
3:0
Gremio U20
Gremio U20
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBotafogo U20 - Fluminense U20
Botafogo U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals