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Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Flamengo U20 - Atletiko Paranaense U20

Football
Flamengo U20
Flamengo U20
1 : 0
Finished
Atletiko Paranaense U20
Atletiko Paranaense U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Flamengo U20 - Atletiko Paranaense U20 June 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Flamengo U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / X 4.90 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 16.5%
1 75.3%
X 17.5%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro U20 A
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Flamengo U20
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.47 xGA 1.34
1 -1.28 X -2.40 2 -2.85 1 (DNB) -1.28
Atletiko Paranaense U20
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.50 Conceded 1.70
1 +0.00 X +0.00 2 +0.00 1 (DNB) +0.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Flamengo U20
Rating 1550
Atletiko Paranaense U20
Rating 1580

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Flamengo U20 - Atletiko Paranaense U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.16 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 4.30 23.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.70 27.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.23 81.3%
2.35 42.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bettery Fonbet
Over 1.5 — — 1.63 61.4% 4.20 23.8%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.92 52.1% 2.35 42.6%
Over 3.5 — — 2.15 46.5% —
Under 1.5 — — 2.20 45.5% 1.18 84.8%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.52 65.8%
Under 3.5 — — 1.62 61.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.86 53.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.14 87.7% 1.57 63.7%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.35 29.9% 4.90 20.4% 4.00 25.0%
3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1% 12.00 8.3% 4.88 20.5%