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Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
10.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Gremio U20 - Fluminense U20

Football
Gremio U20
Gremio U20
0 : 3
Finished
Fluminense U20
Fluminense U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio U20 - Fluminense U20 June 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gremio U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Gremio U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.25 / 2 2.50
  • 1X2 market: Gremio U20 36.5% / X 27.6% / Fluminense U20 35.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 36.5%
X 27.6%
2 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro U20 A
League table
Gremio U20
#1713 ptsGP 154-1-1023:37
LLLDL
Fluminense U20
#1218 ptsGP 155-3-723:22
WLWLL
Best price across 11 books
1 2.60 Bet365
X 3.40 10Bet
2 2.66 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gremio U20
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.70 Conceded 2.20 xG 1.41 xGA 1.68
1 -2.45 X -3.20 2 -0.10 1 (DNB) -2.64
Fluminense U20
W-D-L 4-0-6 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.36 xGA 1.34
1 -1.18 X -8.00 2 +3.77 1 (DNB) -2.94

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Gremio U20
Rating 1420
Fluminense U20
Rating 1441

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 10.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Gremio U20 - Fluminense U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.80 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.45 40.8% 2.46 40.7% 2.60 38.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.48 40.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.22 31.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.55 39.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3%
1x 7.80 12.8%
x2 1.03 97.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.40 22.7%
7.30 13.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.03 97.1%
8.50 11.8%
1.17 85.5%
1.06 94.3%
2.95 33.9%
9.50 10.5%
1.04 96.2%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 — 1.23 81.3%
Over 2.0 — 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.25 — 1.52 65.8%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5%
Over 2.75 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 3.0 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 3.25 — 2.43 41.2%
Over 3.5 — 2.70 37.0%
Over 3.75 — 3.28 30.5%
Over 4.0 — 4.33 23.1%
Over 4.25 — 4.10 24.4%
Over 4.5 — 5.10 19.6%
Over 5.5 — 10.00 10.0%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% —