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Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
10.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Joinville U20 - Bahia U20

Football
Joinville U20
Joinville U20
3 : 1
Finished
Bahia U20
Bahia U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Joinville U20 - Bahia U20 June 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bahia U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Bahia U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.75 / X 4.05 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Joinville U20 19.0% / X 22.2% / Bahia U20 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 18.9%
X 22.1%
2 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro U20 A
League table
Joinville U20
#209 ptsGP 152-3-1015:36
WLLLL
Bahia U20
#1122 ptsGP 156-4-526:24
LDWLD
Best price across 11 books
1 5.50 Betfair
X 4.75 Pinnacle
2 1.57 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Joinville U20
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.90 Conceded 3.01 xG 1.11 xGA 1.68
1 -7.00 X -3.45 2 +5.06 1 (DNB) -6.00
Bahia U20
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.71 xGA 1.30
1 -0.69 X -1.40 2 -3.58 1 (DNB) -0.27

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Joinville U20
Rating 1343
Bahia U20
Rating 1521

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 10.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Joinville U20 - Bahia U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 Fonbet · line only
X 4.15 Fonbet · line only
1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.20 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
5.25 19.1% 5.06 19.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.30 23.3% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.95 25.3%
1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0%
1x 2.20 45.5%
x2 1.11 90.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.82 55.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.23 81.3%
1.17 85.5%
1.06 94.3%
1.02 98.0%
7.30 13.7%
8.50 11.8%
3.60 27.8%
1.88 53.2%
2.40 41.7%
3.55 28.2%
4.20 23.8%
6.60 15.2%
9.50 10.5%
1.05 95.2%
1.04 96.2%
1.23 81.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJoinville U20 - Bahia U20

Joinville U20
0 matches total
Bahia U20
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history