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Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
11.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Kruzeyro U20 - Fortaleza U20

Football
Kruzeyro U20
Kruzeyro U20
3 : 2
Finished
Fortaleza U20
Fortaleza U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kruzeyro U20 - Fortaleza U20 June 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kruzeyro U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Kruzeyro U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.04 / 2 5.86
  • 1X2 market: Kruzeyro U20 62.5% / X 22.2% / Fortaleza U20 15.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.7%
1 62.6%
X 22.2%
2 15.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro U20 A
League table
Kruzeyro U20
#425 ptsGP 147-4-328:15
WDLDW
Fortaleza U20
#1613 ptsGP 142-7-514:18
LLLWL
Best price across 11 books
1 1.56 Unibet
X 4.40 Pinnacle
2 6.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kruzeyro U20
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 2.10 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.64 xGA 1.27
1 -1.92 X +1.35 2 -4.80 1 (DNB) +0.45
Fortaleza U20
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.30 xGA 1.53
1 -5.30 X +2.30 2 -0.69 1 (DNB) -3.04

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kruzeyro U20
Rating 1623
Fortaleza U20
Rating 1479

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Kruzeyro U20 - Fortaleza U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.66 market consensus · line only
X 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 3.60 27.8% 4.10 24.4%
6.25 16.0% 6.29 15.9% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 5.25 19.1% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.25 80.0%
yes 3.30 30.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
5.70 17.5%
2.40 41.7%
6.80 14.7%
11.00 9.1%
1.02 98.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.09 91.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%