Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
11.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Palmeiras SP U20 - Santos U20

Football
Palmeiras SP U20
Palmeiras SP U20
2 : 2
Finished
S
Santos U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Palmeiras SP U20 - Santos U20 June 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.20 / X 1.35 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 12.9%
X 68.9%
2 18.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro U20 A
League table
Palmeiras SP U20
#134 ptsGP 1410-4-035:17
WWDWW
Santos U20
#524 ptsGP 147-3-422:15
DLWWL
Best price across 10 books
1 1.58 Pinnacle
X 4.20 Betfair
2 4.87 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Palmeiras SP U20
W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.96 xGA 1.15
1 +4.94 X -3.25 2 -8.00 1 (DNB) +2.33
Santos U20
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.62 xGA 1.33
1 +0.39 X -2.30 2 -5.11 1 (DNB) +0.21

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Palmeiras SP U20
Rating 1751 xG 1.96 Win 56%
Santos U20
Rating 1580 xG 1.18 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.06.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Palmeiras SP U20 - Santos U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 3.05 32.8%
yes 1.30 76.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.00 33.3%
1x 1.15 87.0%
x2 1.09 91.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
2.15 46.5%
4.70 21.3%
11.50 8.7%
11.00 9.1%
9.50 10.5%
2.20 45.5%
5.70 17.5%
6.80 14.7%
11.00 9.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.14 87.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 1 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2 3.20 31.3%
Over 2.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 3 7.30 13.7%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 4 5.10 19.6%
Over 4.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 5 4.90 20.4%
Over 5.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 6.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 4.80 20.8%
Under 1 3.75 26.7%
Under 1.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 2 1.28 78.1%
Under 2.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 3 1.05 95.2%