Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg
01.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Championship. Quarter-finals. Second Leg

Santos U20 - FC Sao Paulo U20

Futbol
S
Santos U20
0 : 3
Finished
FC Sao Paulo U20
FC Sao Paulo U20

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santos U20 - FC Sao Paulo U20 July 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santos U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Santos U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.49 / 2 3.64
  • 1X2 market: Santos U20 49.7% / X 25.7% / FC Sao Paulo U20 24.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.7%
1 49.7%
X 25.7%
2 24.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro U20 A
League table
Santos U20
#631 ptsGP 199-4-629:24
LWLWD
FC Sao Paulo U20
#1125 ptsGP 196-7-627:26
WWDLL
Best price across 9 books
1 1.85 10Bet
X 3.65 Pinnacle
2 3.82 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Santos U20
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.53 xGA 1.51
FC Sao Paulo U20
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.68 xGA 1.25

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Santos U20
Rating 1595 xG 1.64 Win 46%
FC Sao Paulo U20
Rating 1483 xG 1.25 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Santos U20 - FC Sao Paulo U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 7.10 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Dafabet Marathonbet
1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.65 27.4% 3.72 26.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5%
1x 10.50 9.5%
x2 1.04 96.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
7.10 14.1%
7.40 13.5%
1.17 85.5%
1.01 99.0%
12.00 8.3%
5.70 17.5%
8.50 11.8%
1.05 95.2%
1.05 95.2%
4.20 23.8%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.09 91.7%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Santos U20
D
11.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 Standings
Santos U20 2:2 Palmeyras U20Palmeyras U20
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
FC Sao Paulo U20
L
11.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro U20 Standings
FC Sao Paulo U20 0:2 Bragantino U20Bragantino U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points