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Brazil. Women. Series A1
Brazil. Women. Series A1
01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. Women. Series A1

Ferroviaria W - Bahia W

Football
F
Ferroviaria W
- : -
Not started
B
Bahia W

Ferroviaria W take on Bahia W on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Women. Series A1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ferroviaria W 0-1-0, Bahia W 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ferroviaria W — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ferroviaria W): model 36% · market 57% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ferroviaria W49.8%
X · draw20.7%
2 · Bahia W29.4%

Model estimate: win Ferroviaria W 49.8%, draw 20.7%, win Bahia W 29.4%. Model favourite — Ferroviaria W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ferroviaria W (odds2.48) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Ferroviariya (Zh): probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.48)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferroviaria W - Bahia W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ferroviaria W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.80 / 2 4.94

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 56.9%
X 24.4%
2 18.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro Women
League table
Ferroviaria W
#523 ptsGP 136-5-219:12
Bahia W
#427 ptsGP 148-3-327:19
Best price across 11 books
1 1.72 Betano
X 3.80 Betfair
2 5.25 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ferroviaria W
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.60 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.70 xGA 0.99
Bahia W
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.00 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.38 xGA 1.38

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ferroviaria W
Rating 1613 xG 1.74 Win 55%
Bahia W
Rating 1632 xG 0.99 Win 21%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 56.9% @ 1.63 / X 24.4% @ 3.80 / 2 18.8% @ 4.94
Match center

Ferroviaria W - Bahia W

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ferroviaria W - 49.8% model pick
Draw - 20.7% draw risk
Bahia W - 29.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.8% / 20.7% / 29.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,566 / 1,737 Ferroviariya (Zh) / Bahia (w)
RD 203 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,161-1,971 / 1,249-2,224 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.91 market consensus · no value · model 29.4%
X 3.77 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 79.3%
1X 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 70.6%
X2 2.12 market consensus · value +6.4% · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.68 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.16 46.3%
X 2.23 44.8%
5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.03 49.3%
Match center
Ferroviaria W
D
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
Ferroviaria W 0:0 Zhuventude (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Bahia W
W
27.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
Bahia W 2:1 Botafogo (Zh)Botafogo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFerroviaria W - Bahia W

Ferroviaria W
0 matches total
Bahia W
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history