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Brazil. Women. Series A1
Brazil. Women. Series A1
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Brazil. Women. Series A1

Gremio W - America Mineiro W

Football
G
Gremio W
- : -
Not started
A
America Mineiro W

Gremio W take on America Mineiro W on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Women. Series A1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gremio W 0-1-0, America Mineiro W 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gremio W — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gremio W): model 55% · market 77% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gremio W ✓ Pick75.8%
market77%
X · draw15.5%
market15%
2 · America Mineiro W8.7%
market8%

Model estimate: win Gremio W 75.8%, draw 15.5%, win America Mineiro W 8.7%. Model favourite — Gremio W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gremio W (odds1.63) Score 2:0 confidence 61%
  • • Model backs Gremio (Zh): probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio W - America Mineiro W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gremio W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 6.10 / 2 11.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 ✓ Pick 77.2%
X 15.1%
2 7.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro Women
League table
Gremio W
#1018 ptsGP 135-3-519:14
America Mineiro W
#166 ptsGP 131-3-96:26
Best price across 12 books
1 1.21 Betano
X 6.40 Unibet
2 15.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gremio W
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.70 Conceded 0.91 xG 0.94 xGA 1.68
America Mineiro W
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.89 xG 0.63 xGA 2.38

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Gremio W
Rating 1601 xG 2.31 Win 74%
America Mineiro W
Rating 1321 xG 0.67 Win 9%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 77.2% @ 1.19 / X 15.1% @ 6.10 / 2 7.8% @ 11.80
Match center

Gremio W - America Mineiro W

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gremio W 77.1% 75.8% market and model agree
Draw 15.2% 15.5% draw risk
America Mineiro W 7.7% 8.7%
xG - 2.34 : 0.66

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.8% / 15.5% / 8.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,576 / 1,370 Gremio (Zh) / America Minas Gerais (w)
RD 279 / 275 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,017-2,135 / 820-1,919 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
Double chance
12 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 84.5%
X2 4.10 market consensus · no value · model 24.2%
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.31 43.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 3.80 26.3% 4.40 22.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.58 63.3%
X 2.73 36.6%
9.10 11.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Gremio W
D
24.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
Gremio W 2:2 Flamengo (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
America Mineiro W
L
24.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
America Mineiro W 0:1 Santos (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points