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Brazil. Women. Series A1
Brazil. Women. Series A1
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. Series A1

FC San Martin - Sao Paulo (w)

Football
F
FC San Martin
1 : 4
Finished
Sao Paulo (w)
Sao Paulo (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sao Paulo (w) — 60%

1 · FC San Martin22.2%
X · draw17.4%
2 · Sao Paulo (w) ✓ Pick60.4%

Model estimate: win FC San Martin 22.2%, draw 17.4%, win Sao Paulo (w) 60.4%. Model favourite — Sao Paulo (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sao Paulo (w) (odds1.81) Score 1:2 Under 4.5 (odds1.58) ✗ Handicap H1 +1.5 (odds3.05) ✗ confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs San-Paulu (Zh): probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:2
  • • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • • at line 4.5 (odds 1.58)
  • • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 3.05).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC San Martin - Sao Paulo (w) July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: FC San Martin 22.2% / X 17.4% / Sao Paulo (w) 60.4%

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

FC San Martin - Sao Paulo (w)

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 60.4% fact: away hit / Brier 0.237 / LogLoss 0.504
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 60.4% fact: away hit / Brier 0.237 / LogLoss 0.504
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC San Martin - 22.2%
Draw - 17.4% draw risk
Sao Paulo (w) - 60.4% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 22.2% / 17.4% / 60.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,429 / 1,850 FC San Martin / Sao Paulo (w)
RD 246 / 184 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 938-1,920 / 1,482-2,218 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.05 32.8%
4.40 22.7%
1.30 76.9%
1.15 87.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 4.5 1.58 63.3%
Under 5.5 1.06 94.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 5.50 18.2%
Over 4.5 6.30 15.9%
Under 3.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 3.65 27.4%
Under 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
FC San Martin
L W
26.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
FC San Martin 0:4 Korintians (Zh)Korintians (Zh)
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
FC San Martin 2:0 Botafogo (Zh)Botafogo (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Sao Paulo (w)
W
24.07 22:30 UTC Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
Sao Paulo (w) 3:0 Kruzeyro (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points