Match center
Start
04.07.2026 15:45 UTC
04.07.2026 15:45 UTC
Finished
Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg
Amerika RZh - Serrano
5
:
0
Finished
S
Serrano
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Amerika RZh - Serrano 4 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Amerika RZh. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / X 5.30 / 2 3.71
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 32.0%
1
65.3%
X
14.3%
2
20.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Carioca, Serie A2
Team stats
Amerika RZh
DWWWDDWLLL
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 1.3
5 place, 13 pts
Serrano
DDWLLDDDLL
W 1 • D 5 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1.4
10 place, 11 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Amerika RZh 0, draws 1, Serrano 0 (goals 2:2)
- Serrano RJ — America-RJ2024-06-08 2:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Amerika RZh
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Serrano
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Amerika RZh - Serrano
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.64
market consensus · line only
X
5.30
Fonbet · line only
1
1.16
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.10
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.05
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.46
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.48
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.15
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 3.15 31.8% | 2.16 46.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.52 65.8% | 1.62 61.7% | 4.05 24.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Х | 1.81 55.3% |
| П2 | 4.70 21.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТМ 0.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
Match center
Amerika RZh
L
D
Amerika RZh
2:3
Bonsukesso
Bonsukesso
Amerika RZh
2:2
Olariya
Olariya
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.5
Conceded
1
Points
Serrano
D
Serrano
1:1
Marika
Marika
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAmerika RZh - Serrano
Amerika RZh
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals