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Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg
Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg
13.06.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
13.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg

Bahia - America RJ

Football
Bahia
Bahia
2 : 2
Finished
America RJ
America RJ

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bahia - America RJ June 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 1.38 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 20.9%
X 65.2%
2 13.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Bahia - America RJ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.08 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.60 38.5%
1x 1.08 92.6%
x2 1.16 86.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
14.00 7.1%
1.55 64.5%
12.50 8.0%
11.50 8.7%
1.01 99.0%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
Over 1.5 1.58 63.3% — 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.50 66.7% —
Over 2 — — — — — 2.11 47.4%
Over 2.5 — 2.75 36.4% — — 2.65 37.7% —
Over 3.5 — — — — 4.50 22.2% —
Over 4.5 — — — — 13.00 7.7% —
Under 1.5 2.17 46.1% — 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.45 40.8% —
Under 2 — — — — — 1.62 61.7%
Under 2.5 — 1.40 71.4% — — 1.42 70.4% —
Under 3.5 — — — — 1.17 85.5% —
Under 4.5 — — — — 1.01 99.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 1.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBahia - America RJ

Bahia
0 matches total
America RJ
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history