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Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg
Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg
04.07.2026 15:45 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 15:45 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg

Resende - Amerikano

Futbol
R
Resende
1 : 2
Finished
A
Amerikano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Resende - Amerikano July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Amerikano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.13 / X 5.70 / 2 1.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 55.4%
1 30.2%
X 11.3%
2 58.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Carioca, Serie A2

Team stats

Resende
DWWDWWWDWL
W 6 • D 3 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:2.1 : 0.8
3 place, 19 pts
Amerikano
WLWWWWDWWD
W 7 • D 2 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 0.8
1 place, 22 pts
Head-to-head: 7 — Resende 3, draws 2, Amerikano 2 (goals 7:7)
  • Resende — Americano-RJ2025-06-04 0:1
  • Resende — Americano-RJ2024-05-19 2:0
  • Resende — Americano-RJ2023-08-02 1:1
  • Americano-RJ — Resende2019-03-10 1:1
  • Resende — Americano-RJ2019-01-13 1:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 15:45 UTC
Match center

Resende - Amerikano

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X 5.70 Fonbet · line only
1 2.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.17 85.5% 4.90 20.4%
x2 1.53 65.4% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.01 33.2%
X 1.74 57.5%
4.92 20.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 0.5 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Resende
W
13.06 12:00 UTC Brazil: Carioca 2 Standings
Resende 1:0 BonsukessoBonsukesso
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyResende - Amerikano

Resende
0 matches total
Amerikano
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history