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Start
14.06.2026 12:00 UTC
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14.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil. Copa Rio. Round of 16. First leg
Serrano - Marica
S
Serrano
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Serrano - Marica June 14, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Marica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.88 / X 4.50 / 2 1.09
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 48.7%
1
23.4%
X
14.9%
2
61.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Serrano - Marica
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.09
Fonbet · line only
X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1
2.83
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.13
Fonbet · line only
1X
5.20
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.63
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 5.20 19.2% |
| x2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 12.50 8.0% | |
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| 13.00 7.7% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 5.70 17.5% | — |
| Over 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 2.63 38.1% | — | — | 11.50 8.7% | — |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 5.70 17.5% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.23 44.8% | — | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 1.10 90.9% | — |
| Under 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.66 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 1.44 69.3% | — | — | 1.02 98.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 1.10 90.9% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historySerrano - Marica
Serrano
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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