Match center
Start
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings
Guarani de Palosa - Ersiliu Luzh
1
:
2
Finished
E
Ersiliu Luzh
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Guarani de Palosa - Ersiliu Luzh July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / X 1.27 / 2 4.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1
10.0%
X
70.6%
2
19.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Catarinense - Serie B
Team stats
Guarani de Palosa
DLWWLWDLDW
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.7
6 place, 15 pts
Ersiliu Luzh
LWLWWDWWWW
W 7 • D 1 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:2.2 : 0.7
1 place, 26 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Guarani de Palosa 0, draws 0, Ersiliu Luzh 1 (goals 0:6)
- Hercilio Luz — Guarani de Palhoça2026-05-10 6:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Guarani de Palosa - Ersiliu Luzh
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.60
Fonbet · line only
X
1.27
Fonbet · line only
1
9.00
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
3.10
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.14
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.26
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.40
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.57
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.70
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
3.40
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.73
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.00
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 1x | 1.82 55.0% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.14 87.7% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 2.42 41.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
Match center
Guarani de Palosa
L
D
W
Guarani de Palosa
1:3
Metropolitano
Metropolitano
Guarani de Palosa
2:2
Tubarao
Guarani de Palosa
3:1
Jaragua-SC
Jaragua-SC
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Ersiliu Luzh
W
W
D
Ersiliu Luzh
2:0
Jaragua-SC
Jaragua-SC
Ersiliu Luzh
2:1
Nacao
Nacao
Ersiliu Luzh
2:2
Karavadzho
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGuarani de Palosa - Ersiliu Luzh
Guarani de Palosa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals