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Brazil. Catarinense. Division 2
Brazil. Catarinense. Division 2
14.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Catarinense. Division 2

Metropolitano - Guarani de Palosa

Football
Metropolitano
Metropolitano
3 : 1
Finished
Guarani de Palosa
Guarani de Palosa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metropolitano - Guarani de Palosa June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Metropolitano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / X 6.70 / 2 7.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 17.9%
1 75.7%
X 12.7%
2 11.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Metropolitano - Guarani de Palosa

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.00 market consensus · line only
X 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 5.10 19.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.08 92.6%
6.50 15.4%
10.50 9.5%
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%
5.90 17.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.02 98.0%
12.00 8.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 — — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 1.5 — — — 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 — — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 4.5 — — — 4.90 20.4%
Over 5.5 — — — 11.50 8.7%
Over 6.5 — — — 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 — — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 1.5 — — — 3.80 26.3%
Under 2.5 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.80 55.6%
Under 3.5 — — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 4.5 — — — 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Metropolitano
W
10.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings
Metropolitano 3:1 Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Guarani de Palosa
D W
07.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings
Guarani de Palosa 2:2 Tubarao
03.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Catarinense 2 Standings
Guarani de Palosa 3:1 Jaragua-SCJaragua-SC
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points