Brazil. Catarinense. Division 2
Nacao - Metropolitano
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Metropolitano: probability 67% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:2 (odds 6.00).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nacao - Metropolitano July 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / X 1.15 / 2 7.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Nacao - Metropolitano
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.02 98.0% | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 10.00 10.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.40 22.7% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.70 17.5% | |
| X | 1.98 50.5% |
| 2.34 42.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.66 60.2% |
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Full head-to-head historyNacao - Metropolitano