PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Brazil. Serie C
Brazil. Serie C
27.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie C

Guarani Asuncion - Internacional Limeira

Football
Guarani Asuncion
Guarani Asuncion
3 : 1
Finished
Internacional Limeira
Internacional Limeira
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Guarani Asuncion — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Guarani Asuncion): model 29% · market 74% Δ −45 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Guarani Asuncion53.6%
X · draw26.2%
2 · Internacional Limeira20.2%

Model estimate: win Guarani Asuncion 53.6%, draw 26.2%, win Internacional Limeira 20.2%. Model favourite — Guarani Asuncion.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Internacional Limeira (odds4.36) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Internasonal Limeyra: probability 50% vs 23% on the line (odds 4.36)
  • • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Guarani Asuncion - Internacional Limeira July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Guarani Asuncion.

Line favourite Fonbet: Guarani Asuncion. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 6.80 / 2 5.00
  • Glicko: Guarani Asuncion 53.6% / X 26.2% / Internacional Limeira 20.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 31.8%
1 73.7%
X 11.2%
2 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.78 ↓ 1.03
1X2 X 3.35 ↑ 6.80
1X2 2 4.30 ↑ 36.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie C
League table
Guarani Asuncion
#623 ptsGP 146-5-325:14
LDDLW
Internacional Limeira
#325 ptsGP 147-4-317:14
WWDLW
Best price across 12 books
1 1.68 Unibet
X 3.65 Dafabet
2 5.20 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Guarani Asuncion
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.89 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.37 xGA 0.98
Internacional Limeira
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.21 xGA 1.05

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Guarani Asuncion
Rating 1581
Internacional Limeira
Rating 1567

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Guarani Asuncion 3 : 1 Internacional Limeira
11.61
X3.58
24.99

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 22:12 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 34%
2 24%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Total menshe 2.5 golov (Under 2.5)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated27.07.2026 22:24 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 27%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2 (draw or win Internasonala Limeyra)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 22:21 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 22:39 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 3-2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 42% 34% 24% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Total menshe 2.5 golov (Under 2.5)
Claude 42% 31% 27% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes X2 (draw or win Internasonala Limeyra)
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 50% 30% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 21:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Guarani Asuncion 53%
📐 Math model Guarani Asuncion 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Guarani Asuncion - Internacional Limeira

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.6% fact: home hit / ROI 73.0% / Brier 0.325 / LogLoss 0.624
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.6% fact: home hit / ROI 73.0% / Brier 0.325 / LogLoss 0.624
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Guarani Asuncion 55.1% 53.6% market and model agree
Draw 26.4% 26.2% draw risk
Internacional Limeira 18.5% 20.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.6% / 26.2% / 20.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,443 / 1,773 Guarani Asuncion / Internacional Limeira
RD 138 / 215 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,166-1,719 / 1,343-2,204 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 market consensus · no value · model 20.2%
X 6.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 53.6%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 73.8%
1X 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 79.8%
X2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +317.8% · model 46.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.90 52.6% 1.79 55.9%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7%
x2 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.36 42.4%
X 2.09 47.9%
5.00 20.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 1.5 2.61 38.3%
Under 0.5 2.66 37.6%
Under 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Guarani Asuncion
L D W W
12.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Guarani Asuncion 2:3 PaysanduPaysandu
04.07 21:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Guarani Asuncion 0:0 FlorestaFloresta
13.06 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Guarani Asuncion 2:1 SER Kashias
31.05 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Guarani Asuncion 5:0 AmazonasAmazonas
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Internacional Limeira
W W W W
12.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Internacional Limeira 1:0 AmazonasAmazonas
04.07 18:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Internacional Limeira 1:0 Maranyan
14.06 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Internacional Limeira 2:1 PaysanduPaysandu
31.05 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil C - Pervyy etap Standings
Internacional Limeira 2:1 Ipiranga
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
12 Points