Brazil. Serie C
Ipiranga meet Floresta on August 9, 2026 in the Brazil. Serie C.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ipiranga 2-0-2, Floresta 0-3-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ipiranga — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ipiranga): model 40% · market 47% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ipiranga 46.6%, draw 29.8%, win Floresta 23.7%. Model favourite — Ipiranga.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.52 65.8% |
| yes | 2.36 42.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.71 58.5% | 1.74 57.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.64 37.9% | |
| X | 1.92 52.1% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.39 71.9% | — | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% | — |
Ipiranga
Barra FC
Maranyan
Paysandu
Internasonal Limeyra
Floresta
Guarani
Figeyrense
Full head-to-head historyIpiranga - Floresta
The Ipiranga - Floresta breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
