Brazil. Serie C
Malinga face Amazonas on August 9, 2026 in the Brazil. Serie C.
Recent form (W-D-L): Malinga 2-1-0, Amazonas 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Malinga — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · Malinga): model 59% · market 58% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Malinga 59.8%, draw 24.1%, win Amazonas 16.1%. Model favourite — Malinga.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.08 48.1% | |
| X | 2.28 43.9% |
| 5.60 17.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.69 59.2% |
Floresta
Anapolis
Volta-Redonda
Amazonas
Paysandu
Internasonal Limeyra
Itabayana
Volta-Redonda
Anapolis
Full head-to-head historyMalinga - Amazonas
The Malinga - Amazonas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
