Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
04.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Goiatuba - Manauara

Futbol
G
Goiatuba
0 : 1
Finished
Manauara
Manauara
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Goiatuba — odds 2.45 · edge +3.3% · 3 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Goiatuba - Manauara 4 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Goiatuba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 2.72 / 2 3.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 40.2%
X 34.0%
2 25.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Serie D - Round of 32

Team stats

Goiatuba
WWWDLDDWDW
W 5 • D 4 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.1 : 0.5
2 place, 19 pts
Manauara
DWWDWDWWWD
W 6 • D 4 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 0.6
1 place, 22 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Goiatuba - Manauara

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 market consensus · line only
X 2.64 market consensus · line only
1 2.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.38 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.19 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.49 67.1% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.18 31.5%
Х 1.71 58.5%
П2 4.75 21.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.66 60.2%
ТМ 0.5 2.09 47.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGoiatuba - Manauara

Goiatuba
0 matches total
Manauara
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history