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Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
12.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Iguatu - Maguary

Futbol
Iguatu
Iguatu
2 : 1
Finished
Maguary
Maguary

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Iguatu - Maguary July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Iguatu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 4.90 / 2 3.83

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 43.6%
1 67.6%
X 14.2%
2 18.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie D
League table
Iguatu
#120 ptsGP 105-5-014:7
WDDDW
Maguary
#313 ptsGP 103-4-38:5
LWDDD
Best price across 10 books
1 1.99 Dafabet
X 3.25 Unibet
2 3.95 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Iguatu
W-D-L 5-5-0 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.10 xGA 1.06
Maguary
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.71 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.09 xGA 1.13

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Iguatu
Rating 1617
Maguary
Rating 1526

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Iguatu 3 : 1 Maguary
11.96
X3.08
23.75

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 17:56 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 24%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 Bet:1
Claude updated11.07.2026 17:57 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 30%
2 24%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 46% 30% 24% 2:1 Over 2.5 — 1
Claude 46% 30% 24% — — — 1

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Iguatu - Maguary

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.67 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 1.80 55.6%
yes 3.30 30.3% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.66 60.2% 1.72 58.1% 8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.66 37.6%
X 1.93 51.8%
4.64 21.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.09 47.9%
Under 1 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Maguary
L
04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Maguary 2:3 IguatuIguatu
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIguatu - Maguary

Iguatu
0 matches total
Maguary
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history