Match center
Start
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Imperatris - Ferroviario Fortaleza
I
Imperatris
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Imperatris - Ferroviario Fortaleza 4 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.90 / X 1.19 / 2 7.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.4%
1
11.6%
X
76.8%
2
11.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Serie D - Round of 32
Team stats
Imperatris
DWLWLLWWDD
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 0.9
3 place, 15 pts
Ferroviario Fortaleza
WLWDWWDWDW
W 6 • D 3 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.8
1 place, 21 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Imperatris 0, draws 1, Ferroviario Fortaleza 3 (goals 2:11)
- Ferroviário — Imperatriz-MA2020-11-28 7:0
- Imperatriz-MA — Ferroviário2020-09-26 1:2
- Imperatriz-MA — Ferroviário2019-08-17 0:0
- Ferroviário — Imperatriz-MA2019-06-15 2:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Imperatris
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Ferroviario Fortaleza
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Imperatris - Ferroviario Fortaleza
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.90
Fonbet · line only
X
1.19
Fonbet · line only
1
7.90
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
3.95
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.06
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.92
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.78
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
6.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.30
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.27 78.7% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 3.30 30.3% | 2.04 49.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 3.95 25.3% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.06 94.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.28 23.4% |
| Х | 1.77 56.5% |
| П2 | 3.21 31.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
| ТБ 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| ТМ 0.5 | 2.22 45.1% |
| ТМ 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyImperatris - Ferroviario Fortaleza
Imperatris
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals