Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

12.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

12.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Kepital - Nasonal-AM

Futbol

Kepital

1 : 0

Finished

Nasonal-AM

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kepital - Nasonal-AM July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kepital. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 6.90 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 27.9%

1 74.5%

X 11.3%

2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kepital 1 : 1 Nasonal-AM

11.59

X3.34

25.76

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 18:41 UTC

1 47% ✓ favourite

X 30%

2 23%

Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:Khozyaeva polya motivirovany otygratsya, no oboronitelnyy stil away ne pozvolit ustroit rezultativnuyu perestrelku, poetomu luchshim vyborom budet 1X and Total menshe 2.5.

Claude updated11.07.2026 18:43 UTC

1 47% ✓ favourite

X 30%

2 23%

Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	47%	30%	23%	1:0	Under 2.5	—	Khozyaeva polya motivirovany otygratsya, no oboronitelnyy stil away ne pozvolit ustroit rezultativnuyu perestrelku, poetomu luchshim vyborom budet 1X and Total menshe 2.5.
Claude	47%	30%	23%	—	—	—	1

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Match center

Start 12.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Match center

Kepital - Nasonal-AM

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.03 market consensus · line only

X 6.90 Fonbet · line only

1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.73 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.28 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.16 86.2%	1.47 68.0%
yes	4.40 22.7%	2.49 40.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.06 94.3%
1x	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.02 98.0%
x2	1.93 51.8%	2.03 49.3%	8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.26 44.3%
X	1.92 52.1%
	6.80 14.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.54 64.9%
Over 1	2.35 42.6%
Under 0.5	2.32 43.1%
Under 1	1.53 65.4%

Match center

Kepital

04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Kepital 0:1 Nasonal-AM

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

0 Points

Nasonal-AM

04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Nasonal-AM 1:0 Kepital

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKepital - Nasonal-AM

Kepital

1 matches total

Nasonal-AM

Kepital: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Nasonal-AM: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Nasonal-AM 0:1 (04.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 04.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Kepital

0:1

Nasonal-AM