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Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
04.07.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Luverdense - Guapore

Futbol
L
Luverdense
1 : 0
Finished
G
Guapore
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Luverdense — 51%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Luverdense - Guapore July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Luverdense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 2.70 / 2 7.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 54.1%
X 34.1%
2 11.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Serie D - Round of 32

Team stats

Luverdense
WDLLLWDWWD
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.1
2 place, 15 pts
Guapore
WLDWDWWDLW
W 5 • D 3 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 1.2
1 place, 22 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Luverdense
Well rested
  • Rest days: 6
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Guapore
Well rested
  • Rest days: 6
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Luverdense - Guapore

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.80 Fonbet · line only
X 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.08 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.15 87.0% 1.68 59.5%
yes 4.50 22.2% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.40 71.4%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6%
x2 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.00 50.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.17 46.1%
X 2.01 49.8%
6.60 15.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.03 49.3%
Under 1 1.70 58.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLuverdense - Guapore

Luverdense
0 matches total
Guapore
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history