Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

12.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

12.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Manauara - Goiatuba

Futbol

Manauara

1 : 2

Finished

Goiatuba

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manauara - Goiatuba July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / X 1.30 / 2 6.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%

1 15.8%

X 70.7%

2 13.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie D

League table

Manauara

#122 ptsGP 106-4-013:5

WWDWD

Goiatuba

#219 ptsGP 105-4-113:7

WDDLD

Best price across 10 books

1 1.90 Superbet

X 3.15 Dafabet

2 4.75 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Manauara

W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 1.40 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.71 xGA 0.86

Goiatuba

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 0.99 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.08 xGA 1.01

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Manauara

Rating 1690

Goiatuba

Rating 1635

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Manauara 1 : 0 Goiatuba

11.87

X2.97

24.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 12.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Manauara - Goiatuba

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.80 Fonbet · line only

X 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1 5.80 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 3.15 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.40 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.80 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.70 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%	3.15 31.8%
1x	1.13 88.5%	1.16 86.2%	1.09 91.7%
x2	1.74 57.5%	1.82 55.0%	1.11 90.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.60 38.5%
X	1.86 53.8%
	5.30 18.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.28 43.9%
Under 1	1.56 64.1%

Match center

Manauara

04.07 19:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Manauara 1:0 Goiatuba

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Goiatuba

04.07 19:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Goiatuba 0:1 Manauara

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyManauara - Goiatuba

Manauara

1 matches total

Goiatuba

Manauara: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Goiatuba: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Manauara 1:0 (04.07 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 04.07 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.07 19:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Manauara

1:0

Goiatuba