Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
11.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

Portuguesa Desportos - Marsilio Dias

Futbol
P
Portuguesa Desportos
2 : 0
Finished
Marsilio Dias
Marsilio Dias

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portuguesa Desportos - Marsilio Dias July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portuguesa Desportos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 9.50 / 2 6.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.5%
1 79.1%
X 8.7%
2 12.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Portuguesa Desportos 1 : 1 Marsilio Dias
11.54
X3.35
26.51

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 17:53 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 14%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:Portugeza ne proigraet and total menshe 2.5 (1X + Under 2.5).
Claude updated11.07.2026 17:54 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 14%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 58% 28% 14% 1:0 Under 2.5 Portugeza ne proigraet and total menshe 2.5 (1X + Under 2.5).
Claude 58% 28% 14% 1

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Portuguesa Desportos - Marsilio Dias

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.13 market consensus · line only
X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 1.50 66.7%
yes 6.40 15.6% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 7.20 13.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.24 44.6%
X 1.89 52.9%
7.40 13.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 1 2.15 46.5%
Under 0.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 1 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Portuguesa Desportos
D
04.07 19:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Portuguesa Desportos 1:1 Marsilio DiasMarsilio Dias
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Marsilio Dias
D
04.07 19:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Marsilio Dias 1:1 Portugeza
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortuguesa Desportos - Marsilio Dias

Portuguesa Desportos
1 matches total
Marsilio Dias
Portuguesa Desportos: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Marsilio Dias: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.07 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.07 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.07 19:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Portugeza
1:1
Marsilio Dias