Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Championship Brazilii D - Playoff

San-Zhoze - Portuguesa RJ

Futbol
San-Zhoze
San-Zhoze
1 : 0
Finished
P
Portuguesa RJ
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1San-Zhoze50%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San-Zhoze - Portuguesa RJ July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: San-Zhoze. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 5.90 / 2 3.43

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 40.4%
1 67.2%
X 12.1%
2 20.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Serie D - Round of 32

Team stats

San-Zhoze
LDDWDDWWDW
W 4 • D 5 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.8
4 place, 13 pts
Portuguesa RJ
DWLDWDDLDW
W 3 • D 5 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1
3 place, 14 pts
Head-to-head: 2 — San-Zhoze 1, draws 0, Portuguesa RJ 1 (goals 2:1)
  • Portuguesa-RJ — São José RS2016-07-03 0:2
  • São José RS — Portuguesa-RJ2016-06-25 0:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

San-Zhoze
No recent matches
Portuguesa RJ
Well rested
  • Rest days: 6
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

San-Zhoze - Portuguesa RJ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.15 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 1.56 64.1%
yes 3.35 29.9% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0% 6.70 14.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.26 30.7%
X 1.71 58.5%
4.59 21.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 0.5 2.06 48.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySan-Zhoze - Portuguesa RJ

San-Zhoze
0 matches total
Portuguesa RJ
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history