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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
14.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Sosedad Esportiva - Alagoano

Football
Sosedad Esportiva
Sosedad Esportiva
0 : 1
Finished
Alagoano
Alagoano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sosedad Esportiva - Alagoano June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alagoano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.78 / X 4.50 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 32.0%
1 20.0%
X 16.8%
2 63.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Sosedad Esportiva - Alagoano

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 3.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.85 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.60 38.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2%
1x 3.85 26.0%
x2 1.03 97.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
6.80 14.7%
8.50 11.8%
8.50 11.8%
11.00 9.1%
1.06 94.3%
1.03 97.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
Over 0.5 — 1.28 78.1% —
Over 1.5 — 4.10 24.4% —
Over 2 — — 1.72 58.1%
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7% 9.50 10.5% —
Over 3.5 — 10.50 9.5% —
Over 4.5 — 10.50 9.5% —
Under 0.5 — 3.25 30.8% —
Under 1.5 — 1.18 84.8% —
Under 2 — — 1.96 51.0%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.02 98.0% —
Under 3.5 — 1.01 99.0% —
Under 4.5 — 1.01 99.0% —