Match center
Start
14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
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14.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Souza - America Natal
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Souza - America Natal June 14, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: America Natal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.60 / X 12.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 35.1%
1
20.6%
X
6.2%
2
73.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Souza - America Natal
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
2.63
market consensus · line only
1
3.37
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
5.20
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.30 76.9% |
| yes | 3.10 32.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 12.00 8.3% |
| x2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 11.00 9.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.59 62.9% | — | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | — | — |
| Over 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 3.00 33.3% | — | — | 5.20 19.2% | — |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.50 11.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 10.50 9.5% | — |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 6.80 14.7% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 1.36 73.4% | — | — | 1.11 90.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 1.03 97.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 1.02 98.0% | — |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1.06 94.3% | — |
Match center
Souza
L
Souza
0:2
Maguary
Maguary
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySouza - America Natal
Souza
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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