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Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
12.07.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Atletiko Goyaniense - Fortaleza

Futbol
Atletiko Goyaniense
Atletiko Goyaniense
1 : 0
Finished
Fortaleza
Fortaleza

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletiko Goyaniense - Fortaleza July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletiko Goyaniense.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletiko Goyaniense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.05 / 2 3.06
  • 1X2 market: Atletiko Goyaniense 39.0% / X 30.5% / Fortaleza 30.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 39.0%
X 30.6%
2 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B
League table
Atletiko Goyaniense
#1024 ptsGP 176-6-519:19
WLWDD
Fortaleza
#628 ptsGP 178-4-520:17
LWWDL
Best price across 14 books
1 2.50 Betano
X 3.20 Betano
2 3.25 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletiko Goyaniense
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.11 xG 1.15 xGA 1.10 Corners 6.0
Fortaleza
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.40 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.39 xGA 0.98 Corners 5.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletiko Goyaniense
Rating 1505 xG 1.28 Win 40%
Fortaleza
Rating 1554 xG 1.12 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletiko Goyaniense 1 : 1 Fortaleza
12.44
X2.98
23.06

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 19:29 UTC
1 39% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 29%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:Double chance — 1X.
Claude updated11.07.2026 19:31 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 29%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X (Atletiko-GO ne proigraet)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 39% 32% 29% 1:1 Under 2.5 — Double chance — 1X.
Claude 38% 33% 29% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes Double chance 1X (Atletiko-GO ne proigraet)

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 19:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Atletiko Goyaniense 39%
💹 Market Atletiko Goyaniense 3898%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Atletiko Goyaniense - Fortaleza

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · line only
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.14 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.20 31.3% 2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.15 87.0% 1.91 52.4%
yes 4.50 22.2% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 8.50 11.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 29.00 3.5%
0_4 71.00 1.4%
1_0 6.00 16.7%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 9.00 11.1%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 19.00 5.3%
3_1 17.00 5.9%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
Match center
Atletiko Goyaniense
L D W
04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Atletiko Goyaniense 0:3 Novorizontino
12.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Atletiko Goyaniense 3:3 RegatasRegatas
08.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Atletiko Goyaniense 2:1 Amerika MGAmerika MG
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Fortaleza
W W
02.07 22:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Fortaleza 2:0 Ponte-PretaPonte-Preta
09.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Fortaleza 1:0 NautikoNautiko
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points