Match center
Start
05.07.2026 20:00 UTC
05.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil. Serie B
Botafogo San-Paulu - Avai
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Botafogo San-Paulu - Avai July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Botafogo San-Paulu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 6.20 / 2 4.37
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 29.9%
1
70.0%
X
12.4%
2
17.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Referee · coaches · venue
Match information
Estadio Municipal Jonas Duarte (Anapolis)
Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Botafogo San-Paulu
Well rested- Rest days: 5
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Avai
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Botafogo San-Paulu | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 71% |
| Average total | — | 2.71 |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | — | 29% |
| Matches counted | — | 7 |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Botafogo San-Paulu - Avai
Form
3/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.22
market consensus · line only
X
6.20
Fonbet · line only
1
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.08
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.30
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 0
3.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.43
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.43 69.9% | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 2.60 38.5% | 2.06 48.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 5.50 18.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
Match center
Botafogo San-Paulu
L
W
L
Botafogo San-Paulu
0:1
Regatas
Regatas
Botafogo San-Paulu
2:1
Operario
Operario
Botafogo San-Paulu
0:1
Vila Nova
Vila Nova
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Avai
L
Avai
1:2
Seara
Seara
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBotafogo San-Paulu - Avai
Botafogo San-Paulu
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals