Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Criciuma - Sport Resifi

Futbol
C
Criciuma
1 : 0
Finished
Sport Resifi
Sport Resifi
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Criciuma79%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Criciuma - Sport Resifi July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Criciuma.

Line favourite market consensus: Criciuma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.22 / 2 4.05
  • 1X2 market: Criciuma 48.0% / X 28.9% / Sport Resifi 23.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 48.0%
X 28.9%
2 23.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B
League table
Criciuma
#230 ptsGP 168-6-218:11
WWWDW
Sport Resifi
#825 ptsGP 166-7-318:12
LLDDD
Best price across 13 books
1 2.05 Betano
X 3.35 Unibet
2 4.30 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Criciuma
W-D-L 5-5-0 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.23 xGA 0.93 Corners 6.7
Sport Resifi
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.24 xGA 1.11 Corners 4.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Criciuma
Rating 1575 xG 1.33 Win 46%
Sport Resifi
Rating 1589 xG 0.91 Win 26%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Brasileirão - Série B

Team stats

Criciuma
WDDDDWWDWW
W 5 • D 5 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.6
4 place, 27 pts
Sport Resifi
WLWWLWDDDL
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1
8 place, 25 pts
Head-to-head: 10 — Criciuma 3, draws 5, Sport Resifi 2 (goals 10:10)
  • Sport Recife — Criciúma2023-09-09 3:3
  • Criciúma — Sport Recife2023-05-25 1:0
  • Sport Recife — Criciúma2022-08-03 1:1
  • Criciúma — Sport Recife2022-04-23 1:1
  • Sport Recife — Criciúma2019-11-09 1:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Criciuma - Sport Resifi

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.06 market consensus · line only
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.76 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.16 31.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.13 32.0%
4.20 23.8% 4.11 24.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 1.76 56.8%
yes 7.10 14.1% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.76 56.8% 9.50 10.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.64 37.9%
X 2.05 48.8%
4.67 21.4%
Match center
Criciuma
W
06.06 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Criciuma 1:0 LondrinaLondrina
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Sport Resifi
D D
14.06 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Sport Resifi 0:0 San-BernardoSan-Bernardo
10.06 22:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Sport Resifi 1:1 AtletikAtletik
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCriciuma - Sport Resifi

Criciuma
0 matches total
Sport Resifi
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history