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Brazil. Serie B
Brazil. Serie B
02.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction
02.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Cuiaba - Amerika MG

Futbol
Cuiaba
Cuiaba
1 : 0
Finished
Amerika MG
Amerika MG

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cuiaba - Amerika MG July 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cuiaba.

Line favourite market consensus: Cuiaba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.21 / 2 4.68
  • 1X2 market: Cuiaba 51.0% / X 29.1% / Amerika MG 20.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 51.0%
X 29.1%
2 19.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B
League table
Cuiaba
#923 ptsGP 165-8-312:9
WDLWW
Amerika MG
#206 ptsGP 161-3-1210:27
LLLWL
Best price across 12 books
1 1.87 Dafabet
X 3.33 Pinnacle
2 4.91 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cuiaba
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 0.90 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.06 xGA 0.92 Corners 6.1
Amerika MG
W-D-L 1-1-8 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.05 xGA 1.26 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cuiaba
Rating 1515 xG 1.43 Win 50%
Amerika MG
Rating 1362 xG 0.87 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Cuiaba - Amerika MG

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.67 market consensus · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.18 31.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.13 32.0%
4.70 21.3% 4.70 21.3% 5.00 20.0% 4.85 20.6% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.62 61.7%
yes 11.00 9.1% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 3.45 29.0%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 11.50 8.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.53 39.5%
Х 1.95 51.3%
5.80 17.2%
Match center
Cuiaba
W W
09.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Cuiaba 2:1 Ponte-PretaPonte-Preta
31.05 21:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Cuiaba 2:0 RegatasRegatas
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Amerika MG
L
08.06 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazilii V Standings
Amerika MG 1:2 Atletiko GoyanienseAtletiko Goyaniense
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCuiaba - Amerika MG

Cuiaba
0 matches total
Amerika MG
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history